Maybe all of this sounds eerily familiar. In January, someone on Polymarket made a series of suspiciously well-timed bets right before the U.S. attacked a foreign country and deposed its leader. By the time Nicolás Maduro was extracted from Venezuela and flown to New York, the user had pocketed more than $400,000. Perhaps this trader and the Iran bettors who are now flush with cash simply had the luck of a lifetime—the gambling equivalent of making a half-court shot. Or maybe they knew what was happening ahead of time and flipped it for easy money. We simply do not know.
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Ukraine currently has a surplus of interceptor drones, and manufacturers say they could produce tens of thousands more without compromising the country’s defenses. The bigger challenge, they say, is training crews and integrating the drones with radar systems that can detect targets at long range.